Consequitur · Public beta
See how one event moves another.
Consequitur maps a directed graph of real-world events and the conditional probabilities between them—so you can trace how a shift in one outcome reprices the next.
The network
Trace the connections between events.
- Start from any event and follow its catalysts and what it influences
- Each connection carries the conditional probability shift it implies
- For event-contract holders, an event's upstream table is your catalyst calendar
Read & scenario
Register your read. Run a scenario.
- Disagree with a link? Submit your estimate and the consensus updates
- Set an event's outcome and watch the projection ripple downstream
- Share any view by link—matrices and edges travel by URL
The public beta covers a focused set of macro events—the Fed's 2026 rate path and the data that moves it—with more domains to follow.